Tuesday, October 7, 2008

Why McCain losing- great points!


In light of these excerpts from a sharp analysis. I say, attack Obma on what kind of radical CHANGE will come in his administration, America will be worse off in the hands of a man who never seen tumultuous times like this.
It is like asking a child to put out the fire in the kitchen!
or like asking a teenager how to save a family going into bankruptcy!


One of the striking features of this election is how little has been done to dent Obama's fav/unfav. Obama's unfavorability barely cracks 35, and he benefits from a 20+ point spread on this measure....Lee Atwater famously proclaimed that any candidate with unfavorables over 40 was dead, and ever since every national candidate has been walking dead by this measure... until Obama.
Part of this has been because McCain has been so late to the game in seriously and systematically undermining Obama. Bush's first negative ad of the 2004 campaign was aired on March 15th. It was on July 31st that McCain landed his first punch with the "Celeb" ad.

If it's his inexperience, merely stating it won't cut it. You need to find real-time examples of his acting naive or inexperienced. There have been exactly two in this campaign: "without preconditions" and Wright. And those haven't been foregrounded by McCain nearly to the same extent Kerry's $87 billion remark was.
Obama is the kind of President you elect in a peaceful, self-indulgent time. McCain is who you elect when the house is burning down.

In a time of financial turmoil, McCain needs to drive home the point that now is not the time for conventional, irresponsible, and petty political promises, like a massive socialization of the health care industry or increasing funding for the alphabet soup of government agencies. Sorry, but this also means that tax cuts are probably off the table too -- as well as tax increases that would steal resources from the private economy when they're needed most. Explicitly, McCain should make the case that America can't afford another party-line President, and that he'd be a post-partisan leader who would steer us through a time of turmoil.]

The Keating attack is actually an opportunity to drive home McCain's sense of self-sacrifice. Though McCain was cleared of wrongdoing, he can make the point that this is what drove him to become a political reformer and a thorn in the side of his fellow Republicans. Told right, this story of redemption could break the dials tomorrow night. It also fits into the broader frame of service vs. selfishness. Obama thinks only about himself, and didn't change his ways when a greedy real estate developer sought to buy him off. McCain had an awakening when the same thing happened to him.

The Ayers stuff will be useful in solidifying the base and getting Obama's unfavorables to 40. But it's not a gamechanger.

I am realistic about the prospects for a sudden turnaround right now. The strength of the Obama campaign is that it can be summed up in one word: Change. This is the unifying lens through which they want you to see the world. It's been an unwavering constant of their campaign. Bush's unifying thought in 2004 was strength against our enemies. Can someone please explain to me the single word that describes the McCain campaign? Even if they came to one now, they'd be 19 months too late.

source: The Next Right ^ | October 6, 2008 | Patrick Ruffini

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