9 reasons why I believe Obama will lose this election

By: RK

I emailed this to friends back in Sept 3, 08 when the GOP convention just got underway & I have not revised it.

After much research, and thinking, I conclude that Obama will lose, maybe by a landslide. Weeks ago, I believe McCain has 70% chance of winning, now I believe it has increased to 80%.
Bar a major gaffe by McCain or Palin, or some unexpected outcome from “trooper gate”, ad choice VP, McCain will likely win by 40-60 electoral votes.

As of today, Sept. 2, the reliable Rassmusseum has Obama leasding by 48% to McCain’s 43%, Obamas has Rasmussen currently gives Obama a 61.4 % chance of winning in November.
Here are my reasons:

1. Hillary factor- Secretly I think Hillary wishes Obama to lose so she has better chance in 4 years. After the DDemocratic Convention, at least 25% of her supporters still might vote for McCain. hillary factors. In Blogs, many Hillary supporters plan to vote for Palin.

2. The Christian-Catholic factor- Palin’s choice has fired up all the cylinders of the Christian Bloc, crucial to McCain’s victory. Reminding me of how their support put Bush-Quayle into the White House. The same sex marriage issue will drive millions more Christians & others to the polling booths!

3. The liberal factor- being the most liberal member of the Senate, Obama’s record will become more clear to the Americans, of which about 64% claim they consider themselves conservative to very conservative. Ultraliberals usually do not win national elections, look at Dukakis, Kerry, etc. Clinton had to run as a moderate to win.

4. The Debate factor –Obama maybe an eloquent, inspirational speaker, but look at the Saddleback fiasco. How will he perform without a teleprompter?

5. The Political ads factor- watch for a barrage of ads replying Rev. Wright’s speeches, tying him to Obama, and Obama’s close ties with terrorists like Professor-bomber Ayer, Obama’s record in support of late-term abortion and infanticide. They will swiftboat and sink the Obama Oceanliner.

All these ads need is to raise doubts- how much do you know about the REAL Obama? With his Muslim background, does America want a Hussein Obama to be its leader in such volatile times, Iran, Russia, etc. ?

6. The American press's infatuation with Obama will backfire as polls showed 50% of Americans got tired of hearing too much from the the Pro-Obama Media.

7. Obama's cocky factor- even some African Amricans dislke him. The victory tour of Europe, and the speech in which “Messiah” Obama declared himself "citizen of the world" has not helped him, but may have hurt him. I know most Chinese are not going to vote for him, especially the older generation.

8. The Books factor- The latest Jerome Corsi's "The Obama Nation" and one more Expose coming out soon, all selling well!

9. The Oil drill and Energy factor- Palin’s Alaska’s accomplishment in energy and natural gas will definitely help muster more votes.

In closing, with the unpopular, protracted war, and this terrible recession, high gas price, Obama by now should be ahead easily by 15-20%, but he is not! Expect the race to be even again after the GOP convention and for McCain to pass over Obama after the 3 TV debates. I predict Obama willl lose Florida, Ohio, Colorado, Virginia. It is possible Obama could lose by up to 80 Electoral votes. Barack Obama will lose because he is a flake, a radical leftist and a good talker. Whatever his shortcomings, nobody would call McCain a flake.